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Forecast Discussion for Albuquerque, NM
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943 FXUS65 KABQ 101125 AAA AFDABQ Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 425 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 412 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026 - Low visibility from fog will continue to impact portions of the Pecos River Valley and the Caprock this morning. - Slick travel conditions from the next round of precipitation favoring the northern half of NM is forecast to arrive Saturday into Sunday. - Quiet, dry, and mild conditions will prevail across northern and central New Mexico through the end of the work week. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 119 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026 A 578dm H5 closed low remains over the Lubbock, TX area while a modest area of upper level high pressure ridging is draped SW-NE over NM. Low dewpoint depressions, clear skies, and light prevailing winds are allowing for another round of low clouds and fog to redevelop over a significant portion of southeastern and east- central NM this hour. Satellite and ground observations already show this reaching areas from Artesia to Roswell to Hobbs to Ft. Sumner, quickly expanding toward Clovis, Portales, and Santa Rosa. This matches well with HiRes REFS guidance showing this reaching as far up the Pecos River Valley to Santa Rosa and eastward over to Portales and Clovis. Tucumcari looks to be on the cusp of the northern edge of this weather feature near sunrise. A Dense Fog Advisory will be laid out for Chaves, De Baca, Guadalupe, Quay, Curry, and Roosevelt Counties. Much of this will stick to eastern portions of Guadalupe County and southern Quay County however. Low visibility in these areas will be the main concern for early morning travelers. Low dewpoint depressions also exist along the San Juan River Valley at Farmington, currently 36/34, however guidance is less aggressive there with fog development tonight. Low clouds and fog look to burn off mid-morning around 8am to 10am MST over southeastern NM. The aforementioned H5 low migrates eastward away from the region while the ridge begins to amplify over CA/NV. Thus, the stretch of tranquil and very pleasant Fall weather persists Tuesday with highs ranging from the 50s in the mountains to 60s at lower elevations with low 70s in portions of eastern NM. Tuesday night looks to see another round of low clouds and fog redeveloping over southeastern and east-central NM, but to a lesser degree thanks to a bank of high cirrus clouds streaming over NM during that time. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 119 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026 Wednesday begins the long term period with a modest front backing southwestward thru eastern NM. Aside from a modest northeasterly wind shift a slight drop in temperatures, there will be little sensible weather changes from this front. Meanwhile, the H5 ridge continues to amplify over the Desert Southwest and Four Corners region. This ridge remains highly amplified and sets up temporary residence over the region through Friday, keeping calm and pleasant weather over New Mexico. Late Friday into Friday night sees the weather pattern finally change with two approaching storm systems from the Pacific. Deterministic and ensemble means are in rather good agreement with the first upper level storm system opening up and tracking south of NM over northern Mexico. This leaves the best chance for precipitation coming from the 2nd storm system progged to track over the northern half of NM Saturday and Saturday night. Much of the northern mountains look to fair well with valley rain and high elevation snow, favoring the west slopes. Windy conditions look to accompany this storm system as well, aided by 40-45kt H7 winds and a lee-side surface low deepening over southeastern CO. Crosswinds favoring gusts upwards of 35-50 mph will be favored on north-to- south oriented highways, notably along and just east of the central mountain chain. Monday sees a quick break with a ridge of high pressure sliding west to east across the region. A more active northern Pacific looks to bring in another set of storm systems into the western CONUS with the next favoring to bring more notable precipitation to New Mexico Tuesday and Wednesday of next week. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 412 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026 IFR/LIFR vis and ceilings lay across parts of east-central and southeastern NM this hour from a batch of fog and low clouds. This will improve past sunrise as clouds and fog lift and burn off respectively thru mid-morning. VFR prevails elsewhere and thereafter with light prevailing winds. Another round of low clouds and fog is possible late tonight into Wednesday morning, but likely to a lesser degree and coverage relative to this morning. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 119 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026 No fire weather concerns thru the rest of the work week. Light prevailing winds and a ridge of high pressure will bring widespread poor ventilation. A storm system skirts the international border Saturday with continued poor ventilation. However, westerlies pick up late Saturday into Sunday from the next system crossing northern NM, but ventilation remains poor. Valley rain and mountain snow will favor the west facing slopes of the northern half of NM late Saturday and Saturday night. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 59 34 60 34 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 60 27 64 29 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 58 32 60 33 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 62 29 63 29 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 61 29 61 29 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 63 32 62 32 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 61 30 63 30 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 62 38 60 37 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 61 30 58 31 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 67 31 67 31 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 70 37 70 37 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 56 30 58 30 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 60 39 59 38 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 63 35 62 31 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 58 32 58 31 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 52 27 51 26 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 57 19 56 18 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 61 28 60 28 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 64 33 60 30 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 65 35 65 34 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 61 36 61 35 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 62 34 63 33 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 65 41 66 41 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 65 40 67 40 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 67 37 68 37 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 66 39 67 39 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 66 35 67 33 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 68 38 68 37 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 66 34 68 33 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 67 38 68 38 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 66 34 67 34 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 64 39 65 39 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 67 39 67 38 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 67 43 67 42 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 60 36 61 36 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 62 38 63 37 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 64 35 64 33 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 66 29 65 27 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 62 38 60 35 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 63 35 63 34 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 63 35 63 35 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 64 42 67 41 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 61 39 60 37 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 64 35 60 33 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 67 33 63 30 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 69 33 65 28 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 66 36 61 31 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 69 43 65 41 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 66 39 63 34 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 72 41 69 37 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 72 42 67 38 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 71 40 68 37 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 69 43 69 40 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 70 42 70 38 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 70 42 69 38 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 69 43 70 41 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 70 44 66 40 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 67 41 64 36 / 0 0 0 0 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM MST this morning for NMZ233>238. && $$ SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....24 AVIATION...24 |
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